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Commentary
The Wall Street Journal

Can the Iranian Regime Survive?

A ground war is unlikely, but the US and Israel have other ideas about how to bring the mullahs down.

walter_russell_mead
walter_russell_mead
Ravenel B. Curry III Distinguished Fellow in Strategy and Statesmanship
Walter Russell Mead
Vehicles drive along an expressway as smoke rises after an air strike in Tehran on March 5, 2026. (Getty Images)
Caption
Vehicles drive along an expressway as smoke rises after an air strike in Tehran on March 5, 2026. (Getty Images)

Can the Islamic Republic of Iran survive the waves of devastating attacks being launched around the clock by the Israelis and Americans? Nobody knows.

Unlike Saddam Hussein’s Iraq or Moammar Gadhafi’s Libya, Iran has a long record of success. On Oct. 6, 2023, it appeared to be achieving its long-term goal of a durable hegemony in the Middle East. Its proxies and allies dominated Iraq. Bashar al-Assad seemed firmly in power in Syria. Hezbollah held Lebanon’s destiny in its hands. The Houthis had enough firepower to choke off navigation through the Red Sea, depriving Egypt of badly needed Suez Canal revenue and imposing costs on shipping and trade.

Read the full article in The Wall Street Journal.